The 2017 Cup Series champion’s season started frustratingly with five top 10s in his first six races, including two runner-up finishes, but he simply couldn’t get into the winner’s circle.

That has changed, though, as he has won back-to-back races, including one at Richmond he had been on the brink of winning but simply could never achieve.

He is breaking through at the right time as the Cup Series heads to Kansas Speedway this weekend. Truex loves intermediate-track racing and has two wins in his last four races at the track.

He isn’t the favorite to win this week — that would be Busch at 7/2 — but he really should be seen as the man to beat this week. We’re picking him to win his third race in a row and keep Busch out of the winner’s circle for the fourth straight week.

The Digital Ally 400 can be seen Sunday at 7:30 p.m. ET on FOX.

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Kevin Harvick is still searching for his first win of the year, but so was Truex until two races ago. Harvick has three career wins at Kansas and eight top-10 finishes in his last 11 races. Those finishes include seven in the top five.

Ryan Blaney won the first stage of the race at Kansas in the spring of 2018 and has five top 10-finishes in his last six races at Kansas. He has struggled on intermediate tracks this year but historically has been good on them, so the beginning of the year may just be an anomaly.

Kyle Larson probably would have won the spring race in 2018 had he not gotten into a wreck with Blaney. He had the fastest car and chased everyone down from the back of the field after he moved back before the start of the race. Larson has three top-10 finishes in his last four races in Kansas.

One sleeper for the Digital Ally 400

There’s not really a sleeper for this week’s race. No one with odds below 25/1 really has a great track record in Kansas, which would suggest they would come out of nowhere to compete. However, Aric Almirola and Kurt Busch, who both have 25/1 odds to win, could surprise some people and win this week. Both drivers have three top-10 finishes on intermediate tracks this year and have a propensity for finishing in the top 10 at Kansas. Almirola has done it three straight times and Busch has five top 10s in his last eight races there.

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